Bill Davidsen <> wrote:
> Nate Edel wrote:
> > What something else is a better question; embedded PowerPC and MIPS are
> > both nonexistent in the mobile/smartphone space but , and Intel would
> > love for some version of Atom to get some traction.
>
> That's the important part, Intel has the technology, the money, and the
> desire.
Indeed they do; which hasn't stopped them from failures like Netburst and
the Itanic in the past (or other examples from the longer past.)
> I suspect that there's a market for ATOM in netbooks or tablets.
Atom is the far-and-away leader in Netbooks, and I think the only reasonable
competitors are Intel's own CULV processors and Via - AMD has announced, but
not delivered, a netbook-class processor.
In the short run, barring a major change on Apple's part producing an OsX
netbook, the only real competitor to Windows in the netbook space is full
Linux, and that's still a niche market... and I suspect quite a lot of
those get pirate copies of Windows or OsX on them.
The Android, Chrome OS, and other attempts to cut down a partial Linux away
from the desktop metaphor seem like non-starters on a full-keyboard netbook
or convertable tablet, but they might look more attractive in a generation
or two. Ditto, if Apple ever extends the iPhone/iPad OS to a full
netbook/convertable tablet in another generation or two (which seems more
likely than a full OsX netbook, which would cheapen their brand.)
In the non-convertable tablet/slate space, who knows; to the extent that
those end up as laptop replacements, I think the Intel architecture has a
very, very strong starting point for other to overcome - to the extent that
they're an oversized mobile phone/media player (ie the current iPad) they
are much easier to lock into a given non-Intel ecosystem, and Windows
compatibility becomes and impediment rather than an advantage. I don't know
if Atom will really ever be competitive in that space, even with something
like Android which is fairly platform-agnostic (the iPhone OS is not.)
On the other hand, I really don't see the value proposition in such a
ecosystem-dependent device without the ecosystem, and the only one that's
really taken off is Apple's. It'll be interesting to see where that space
goes.
--
Nate Edel
http://www.cubiclehermit.com/
preferred email |
is "nate" at the | "I do have a cause, though. It's obscenity. I'm
posting domain | for it."